diff --git a/src/fable5/factory-deploy.test.ts b/src/fable5/factory-deploy.test.ts
index fb4bfe8..eb54fa6 100644
--- a/src/fable5/factory-deploy.test.ts
+++ b/src/fable5/factory-deploy.test.ts
@@ -23,7 +23,7 @@ function passedGateReceipt(): string {
     task: "gate",
     repo: ".",
     commands: ["fable-agent factory gate gate --repo .", "fable-agent fable5 verify repo gate --repo ."],
-    createdAt: "2026-06-23T00:00:00.000Z",
+    createdAt: "2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z",
   })}\n`);
   return file;
 }
@@ -36,7 +36,7 @@ function passedGateReceiptWithPlan(plan: string): string {
     repo: ".",
     commands: ["fable-agent factory gate gate --repo .", "fable-agent fable5 verify repo gate --repo ."],
     provenance: { plan },
-    createdAt: "2026-06-23T00:00:00.000Z",
+    createdAt: "2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z",
   })}
 `);
   return file;
diff --git a/src/fable5/factory-reconciliation.test.ts b/src/fable5/factory-reconciliation.test.ts
index cfe181f..2086d13 100644
--- a/src/fable5/factory-reconciliation.test.ts
+++ b/src/fable5/factory-reconciliation.test.ts
@@ -13,7 +13,7 @@ afterEach(() => {
 
 function factoryResult(overrides = {}) {
   return {
-    factory: { status: "ok", containers: 25 },
+    factory: { status: "ok", containers: 16 },
     deploy: { status: "ok", service: "git-proxy-deploy" },
     factoryAvailable: true,
     deployAvailable: true,
@@ -30,7 +30,7 @@ describe("factory reconciliation receipt", () => {
       schema: "fable.factory.reconciliation.v1",
       createdAt: "2026-06-27T00:00:00.000Z",
       sourceCommand: "test command",
-      containerCount: 25,
+      containerCount: 16,
       deployRoute: { url: CANONICAL_DEPLOY_ROUTE, status: "ok", name: "git-proxy-deploy" },
       decision: "ready",
       reasons: [],
diff --git a/src/fable5/factory-routes.test.ts b/src/fable5/factory-routes.test.ts
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..aba4340
--- /dev/null
+++ b/src/fable5/factory-routes.test.ts
@@ -0,0 +1,20 @@
+import { describe, expect, it } from "vitest";
+import { CANONICAL_DEPLOY_ROUTE, DEPLOY_WEBHOOK_LEGACY_PATH, isAllowedDeployUrl, isForbiddenDeployRoute, isGuardedDeployUrl, LEGACY_DEPLOY_PORT } from "./factory-routes.js";
+
+describe("factory deploy routes", () => {
+  it("allows only the canonical 8099 deploy route", () => {
+    expect(isAllowedDeployUrl(CANONICAL_DEPLOY_ROUTE)).toBe(true);
+    expect(isGuardedDeployUrl(CANONICAL_DEPLOY_ROUTE)).toBe(true);
+  });
+
+  it("keeps legacy 8098 deploy-webhook forbidden", () => {
+    const legacyByPort = `http://77.42.112.29:${LEGACY_DEPLOY_PORT}/deploy`;
+    const legacyByPath = `http://77.42.112.29:8099${DEPLOY_WEBHOOK_LEGACY_PATH}`;
+
+    expect(isForbiddenDeployRoute(legacyByPort)).toBe(true);
+    expect(isForbiddenDeployRoute(legacyByPath)).toBe(true);
+    expect(isAllowedDeployUrl(legacyByPort)).toBe(false);
+    expect(isGuardedDeployUrl(legacyByPort)).toBe(false);
+    expect(isGuardedDeployUrl(legacyByPath)).toBe(false);
+  });
+});
diff --git a/src/fable5/rsi-reconcile.test.ts b/src/fable5/rsi-reconcile.test.ts
index 655662c..9a29960 100644
--- a/src/fable5/rsi-reconcile.test.ts
+++ b/src/fable5/rsi-reconcile.test.ts
@@ -59,13 +59,13 @@ describe("rsi reconcile", () => {
     expect(receipt.rubric.format).toBe(5);
   });
 
-  it("marks healthy when auto-patch evidence exists", () => {
+  it("keeps loose auto-patch log text advisory", () => {
     const receipt = reconcileRsi({ host: "example", runner: runner({ "tail -160": { status: 0, stdout: "RSI: 65/65 (100%)\nauto-patching 1 degraded skills\nAll patched successfully\n" } }) });
 
-    expect(receipt.facts.auto_patch_proven).toBe(true);
-    expect(receipt.decision).toBe("healthy");
-    expect(receipt.evidence.auto_patch_proven).toBe(true);
-    expect(receipt.evidence.rsi_healthy).toBe(true);
+    expect(receipt.facts.auto_patch_proven).toBe(false);
+    expect(receipt.decision).toBe("healthy_but_autopatch_unproven");
+    expect(receipt.evidence.auto_patch_proven).toBe(false);
+    expect(receipt.evidence.rsi_healthy).toBe(false);
   });
 
   it("marks healthy when a fresh structured canary proof receipt exists", () => {
diff --git a/src/fable5/rsi-reconcile.ts b/src/fable5/rsi-reconcile.ts
index a5ff96e..d329ce4 100644
--- a/src/fable5/rsi-reconcile.ts
+++ b/src/fable5/rsi-reconcile.ts
@@ -75,10 +75,10 @@ export function reconcileRsi(opts: RsiReconcileOptions): RsiReconcileReceipt {
     latest_score: latest.match(/RSI:\s*([^\n]+)/)?.[1]?.trim(),
     factory_watcher_active: /active/.test(checks.find((c) => c.name === "factory_watcher")?.stdout ?? ""),
     deploy_route_present: isOk("deploy_route", checks),
-    auto_patch_proven: (/auto-patching/.test(latest) && /All patched/.test(latest)) || canaryProofOk,
+    auto_patch_proven: canaryProofOk,
     ...(canaryProofOk ? { canary_proof: opts.canaryProof } : {}),
   };
-  // ponytail: cron name drift is a warning; live health + watcher + deploy route are the gate.
+  // ponytail: cron/log text is advisory; fresh structured canary proof is required for auto_patch_proven.
   const coreHealthy = facts.skill_health_present && /100%|65\/65|66\/66/.test(facts.latest_score ?? "") && facts.factory_watcher_active && facts.deploy_route_present;
   const createdAt = (opts.now ?? new Date()).toISOString();
   const decision = coreHealthy ? (facts.auto_patch_proven ? "healthy" : "healthy_but_autopatch_unproven") : "degraded";
diff --git a/src/fable5/verify-cycle.test.ts b/src/fable5/verify-cycle.test.ts
index 75d8c6d..185473e 100644
--- a/src/fable5/verify-cycle.test.ts
+++ b/src/fable5/verify-cycle.test.ts
@@ -47,11 +47,14 @@ describe("verifyCycle", () => {
   it("writes a passing receipt with 8099 deploy evidence", async () => {
     const dir = fs.mkdtempSync(path.join(os.tmpdir(), "verify-cycle-"));
     const out = path.join(dir, "receipt.json");
+    const proof = path.join(dir, "canary.json");
+    fs.writeFileSync(proof, JSON.stringify(canaryProof("2026-06-19T00:00:00.000Z")));
     const receipt = await verifyCycle({
       host: "127.0.0.1",
       skill: "rsi_canary",
       out,
       allowDirty: true,
+      canaryProof: proof,
       now: new Date("2026-06-19T00:00:00.000Z"),
       factoryCheck: async () => factoryOk,
       runner,